Reports
Indian stock market daily morning report (January 27, 2012, Friday)
January 27, 2012, Friday
Indian markets edged higher for the second straight day on Wednesday to their highest close in more than two months, powered by gains in IT bellwether Infosys and automaker Tata Motors, as investors resorted to selective buying amid settlement of monthly derivatives contracts. Data showing resumption of buying by foreign funds also boosted investor sentiment. Indian markets have gained ~10% so far in January, with foreign funds buying shares worth more than $1 billion. US stock market daily report (January 26, 2012, Thursday)
January 26, 2012, Thursday
U.S. Labor Department reported new applications for unemployment benefits rose sharply last week, but initials claims remain at a level usually associated with a modest improvement in U.S. hiring trends. U.S. jobless claims climbed by 21,000 to a seasonally adjusted 377,000 in the week ended January 21 and jobless claims from two weeks ago were revised up by 4,000. The number of jobless claims frequently gyrate during January despite government efforts to adjust for seasonal factors owing to the end of temporary jobs created during the holiday season. For the first week of January, jobless claims totaled 402,000 and sank to 356,000 two weeks ago before bouncing back up again last week with the average of four-week claims fell slightly, down 2,500 to 377,500. The monthly average jobless claims has shown little change over the past six weeks, but recent levels suggest a declining number of layoffs in broader economy. The current pace of hiring, approximately 150,000 jobs a month, is barely able to absorb the natural increase in the nations labor force. U.S. jobless claims generally reflect how many people lose their jobs which means that the U.S. should be able to add jobs at a faster clip even if companies hire at a rate no faster than last year. However, this number falls well short of whats needed to put millions of Americans back to work and drive down unemployment. US stock market daily report (January 25, 2012, Wednesday)
January 25, 2012, Wednesday
Federal Open Market Committee text released today: Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately, notwithstanding some slowing in global growth. While indicators point to some further improvement in overall labor market conditions, the unemployment rate remains elevated. Household spending has continued to advance, but growth in business fixed investment has slowed, and the housing sector remains depressed. Inflation has been subdued in recent months, and longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable. Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects economic growth over coming quarters to be modest and consequently anticipates that the unemployment rate will decline only gradually toward levels that the Committee judges to be consistent with its dual mandate. Strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook. The Committee also anticipates that over coming quarters, inflation will run at levels at or below those consistent with the Committees dual mandate. To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with the dual mandate, the Committee expects to maintain a highly accommodative stance for monetary policy. In particular, the Committee decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 0.25% and currently anticipates that economic conditions--including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run--are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014. US stock market, economy and companies update (January 27, 2012)
January 27, 2012, Friday
The DJIA and S&P500 are in the red this morning following the GDP data out this morning. US GDP grew 2.8% in Q4, a sharp acceleration from the 1.8% in Q3 and the quickest pace since the second quarter of 2010, although this rate was still less than expected. Inventory builds helped sustain growth, although lower Federal expenditures held back the measure. In Europe, no deal has emerged between Greece and its private creditors, only increasing the skittishness of investors. Both EU Commissioner Rehn and the Greek government insisted a deal is very close, however this is the same line that has been reiterated all week long. Treasury markets are flat on day consolidating the move high since the release of the FOMC statement. The US 10-year yield remains below 1.95%. Russian stock market daily evening report (January 27, 2012, Friday)
January 27, 2012, Friday
The last trade day of the week brought slight reduction to market due to correction at global markets. The weak stats that came out worsened the drop. But that, the day was calm, with not high volatility. We assume the market might show slight reduction within correction versus growth, indicated thought January. Indian stock market daily closing report (January 27, 2012)
January 27, 2012, Friday
Indian markets ended the week with gains for the fourth consecutive time. The market gained around 12% in last four weeks on account of fresh buying by FIIs due to improved global economic scenario. The markets ended up around 1% in todays trading session led by RIL & Tata Motors. The Nifty ended up 46.4 points today, to close at 5204.7. The Sensex ended up 156.8 points, at 17,233.98. The breadth of the market was positive in todays trade and the total volumes were at Rs 86491 cr. European stock market, economy and companies update (January 27, 2012)
January 27, 2012, Friday
European equity indices opened the session lower, but have since pared losses on renewed hopes that a Greek debt agreement might be reached in the next few days. European banks are currently trading mixed, with French banks underperforming. Greek banks have risen by over 10%, amid the ongoing talks between Greece's government and its private sector creditors. Additionally, a Greek press report said that the Troika officials were said to have lowered their capital demands for Greek banks. Asian stock market, economy and companies update (January 27, 2012)
January 27, 2012, Friday
Markets were mixed and cautious in the final trading day of the week, US jobless benefit claims rose last week while durable goods beat estimates in December. Markets are also waiting for the release of Q4 GDP from the US. A drop in USD/JPY tested 76.90; yen crosses sold into the Tokyo fix but regained back towards US session levels. This strength weighed on exporting names and could trigger repatriation. Japan PM Noda tried to verbally deter the strength calling for "bold" action to stem the yen rise. Commodities futures were all lower, silver and copper both falling 0.7%, wheat lost 1% while corn shed $2.20. Indian stock market and companies daily report (January 27, 2012, Friday)
January 27, 2012, Friday
The markets are expected to open sideways tracking mixed cues from the Asian markets and as investors would be waiting for the outcome of crucial Greek debt talks. US shares ended on a weak note on Thursday following some mixed economic data, with new home sales notably weak. Profit taking following recent strength also contributed to the downturn by the markets. The data came one day after the US Federal Reserve indicated that it would keep rates in the US at ultra-low levels until late 2014. European market closed to the upside on Thursday. Forex
- The U.S. dollar was traded lower against almost all of its major competitors.
January 27, 2012, Friday
- Currency pairs technical review (January 26, 2012)
January 26, 2012, Thursday
- FOMC kept the interest rate unchanged, in the range of 0% -0.25 %
January 26, 2012, Thursday
- Currency pairs technical review (January 26, 2012)
January 26, 2012, Thursday
- FOMC kept the interest rate unchanged, in the range of 0% -0.25 %
January 26, 2012, Thursday
- Currency pairs technical review (January 25, 2012)
January 25, 2012, Wednesday
- The Bank of Japan lowered the forecast of the economic growth for next year
January 25, 2012, Wednesday
- Currency pairs technical review (January 24, 2012)
January 24, 2012, Tuesday
- The Asian financial markets celebrated a New Year
January 24, 2012, Tuesday
- Currency pairs technical review (January 24, 2012)
January 24, 2012, Tuesday
- The Asian financial markets celebrated a New Year.
January 24, 2012, Tuesday
- Currency market weekly review (January 16 - January 20, 2012)
January 23, 2012, Monday
- Currency market weekly review (January 16 - January 20, 2012)
January 23, 2012, Monday
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Recommendations
KPIT Cummins Infosystems Ltd Q3FY12 results update by Nirmal Bang
January 27, 2012, Friday
Overall Superior Performance. Company has announced 1:1 bonus. The company reported good set of numbers and has revised guidance upwards for FY12E. For Q3FY12E, Dollar Revenues moved up 4.3% QoQ, Rupee revenues climbed up 16.6% QoQ and EBIDTA stretched 166 bps QoQ. Revenues in $ terms grew 4.3% QoQ, 21.6% YoY at $ 73.4 mn. This was supported by 4% volume growth QoQ and Price improvement of 70-80 bps. In Rupee terms, revenues grew by 16.6% QoQ, 38.4% YoY at Rs.Rs.378.9 crores. Sesa Goa Q3 FY12 results update by Nirmal Bang
January 27, 2012, Friday
Sesa Goas (SGL) 3QFY12 EBITDA was 31%/23% above our/consensus estimates, respectively, due to higher-than-expected realisation and iron ore volume. PAT was up 14%/7% veRs.us our/consensus estimates, respectively, a lower deviation veRs.us EBITDA, due to higher interest costs and forex loss. We have slightly tweaked our iron ore volume estimates by 2%/(1%) for FY12/FY13, while our realisation estimates have been increased by 14%/13%, respectively, in the same period due to higher proportion of Goa iron ore and stabilisation of iron ore prices. UltraTech Cement 3QFY2012 performance highlights and results update
January 27, 2012, Friday
During 3QFY2012, UltraTech Cement (ULTC) posted strong 93.4% yoy growth in its bottom line on account of substantial 16.4% yoy growth (up 6% sequentially) in blended realization. Domestic dispatches (incl. clinker and white cement) rose by 6.2% yoy to 9.97mn tonnes. During the quarter, ULTCs bottom line was boosted by Rs.66.6cr of subsidies relating to previous years in terms of state investment promotion scheme. We remain Neutral on the stock. During 3QFY2012, ULTCs net sales grew by 23.1% yoy to Rs.4,572cr, primarily on account of higher realization. Persistent Systems 3QFY2012 performance highlights and results update
January 25, 2012, Wednesday
For 3QFY2012, Persistent Systems (Persistent) reported lower-than-expected numbers on the top-line front but outperformed expectations on the bottom-line front. Management has revised FY2012 sales guidance downwards to 20.5-23.5% yoy from 29% yoy and PAT guidance to Rs.125cr-135cr from Rs.140cr. Persistent is into pure-play offshore product development (OPD), which is highly discretionary in nature and, thus, poses a huge risk for the company if any slowdown kicks in the economy. We maintain our Neutral view on the stock. Torrent Pharmaceuticals Q3 FY12 results update by Nirmal Bang
January 25, 2012, Wednesday
Torrent Pharmaceuticals results were below expectations as the company reported Adjusted PAT of Rs 60.2 cr (net notional loss) as against the consensus expectation of Rs 86.0 cr. Sales grew by 21% yoy at Rs 696.6 cr. Domestic business is still sluggish which slowed down the overall growth of the company. Q3FY12 includes Rs 9.4 cr of licensing income in other operating income as compared to Rs 0.6 cr in Q3FY11 and Rs 9.6 cr in Q2FY12. Yes Bank Q3FY12 results update by Nirmal Bang
January 24, 2012, Tuesday
Yes Bankfs performance for Q3FY12 was marginally above our estimates. The bank reported a net profit of Rs.254 crs in Q2FY12 resulting in a growth of 33.0% on a YoY basis and a QoQ increase of 8.8% resulting from lower provisioning. Yes Bank loan book grew at 15.3% YoY and 4.9% on a QoQ basis in Q3FY12. Out of the total advances portfolio, Corporate & Institutional Banking accounted for 63.4%, Commercial banking accounted for 21.4% and Branch Banking accounted for 15.2%. Global Outlook
Corporate Spending and Unemployment
January 26, 2012, Thursday
Numerous investment articles over the past few months have implored Americas corporations to unleash their vast, burgeoning cash hoards to kick-start the economy. This may now be occurring and, if so, could provide the catalyst for a winning stock market in 2012, at least in the United States. A Federal Reserve report released in September 2011 stated that, at the end of June, U.S. non-financial corporations held more than $2 trillion in cash, and that excludes foreign cash holdings. This comprised 7.1% of all company assets, and was the highest level since 1963. Something's Fishy in Tripoli
January 25, 2012, Wednesday
Way back in early 2011, members of the U.N. Security Council had no problem getting a resolution through that authorized military force in Libya ostensibly to protect civilians from attacks by forces loyal to strongman Moammar Gadhafi. The year before, lawmakers on both sides of the Atlantic were bickering over who did what and why in terms of the cancer-stricken Lockerbie bomber. This Scottish decision to release him, depending on which U.S. lawmaker you spoke with, was tied to a BP deal to drill for oil in Libya. Despite fractures in the new interim government in Tripoli and reports of renewed protests, a decision by the Italian government to quietly discuss trade relations suggests something isn't quite right in the way Western allies pick their fights. What The Next Decade Holds For Commodities
January 25, 2012, Wednesday
What a decade!... A rapidly-urbanizing global population, driven by tremendous growth in emerging markets, has sent commodities on quite a run over the past 10 years. In fact, you would find that all 14 commodities are in positive territory if you annualized the returns since 2002. The best performer was silver with an impressive 20% annualized return. Surprisingly, that was higher than the 19% annual return on gold. Notably, all commodities, except natural gas, outperformed the S&P 500 Index 10-year annualized return of just 2.92%. Danger Ahead
January 25, 2012, Wednesday
As I was writing this past weekend's newsletter "A Technical Review Of The Markets" it really dawned on me just how complacent investors have become on the economy, the markets and risk in general. The mainstream media, and most of analysts, are looking at recent improvements in the economic data as a sign that the economy has begun to make a turn for the better. This view is further supported by the rise of the stock market. With a couple of breadcrumbs, a sprinkle of "hope" and a cup of optimism - analysts, economists and investors have whipped up the perfect concoction by extrapolating recent upticks into long term future advances.
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